Other Settlement CLIMATE RISK
Thorpe Tilney is a settlement in Lincolnshire, part of the North Kesteven council area.
Thorpe Tilney inherits its flood band (Higher) from the wider North Kesteven council area because the Environment Agency does not publish settlement-level breakdowns for every UK location. Search any postcode in Thorpe Tilney below for the address-level reading from Environment Agency NaFRA2.
Met Office UKCP18 projections (50th percentile) estimate around 28 days above 25°C per year across the North Kesteven area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Heat exposure within Thorpe Tilney itself is uneven: top-floor flats, west-facing terraces and properties without through-ventilation hold heat well into the night, while ground-floor homes near tree cover or open ground cool faster. The headline 28-day figure is a council-level UKCP18 estimate (LAD resolution), not a property-level reading.
Annual mean PM2.5 across the North Kesteven area is 7.1 µg/m³ - above the World Health Organisation guideline of 5 µg/m³ and within the UK Environment Act 2021 target of 10 µg/m³ by 2040. Within Thorpe Tilney, readings are not flat: postcodes within 200 metres of an A-road or major junction routinely run 30-50% higher during weekday rush hours than residential streets two roads back. The figure is a council-level Defra UK-AIR estimate (1km modelled grid).
Ground stability in Thorpe Tilney follows the underlying geology more than the postal boundary. The British Geological Survey GeoSure dataset maps clay shrink-swell risk on a 50-metre cell, and properties on the same street can sit in different bands where a clay seam ends mid-road. Pre-1980 housing on clay-rich ground is the most exposed; properties on bedrock or well-drained sandy soils are typically lower-risk. A postcode-level check picks up that variation.
A free postcode check on LocalRisk covers up to six hazards for any address in Thorpe Tilney: Environment Agency flood mapping, BGS ground stability, Met Office heat projections, Defra PM2.5, plus coastal erosion and green-space access where relevant. The postcode list below opens an address-level report for each postcode in Thorpe Tilney; the council link at the top of this page returns to the wider North Kesteven picture.
Council area level (North Kesteven). Search a postcode for detail.