LOCATION

AB54 4EU - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Keith

Moray, Keith

Flood: HigherHeat: LowerAir quality: LowGround: Low

Climate risk summary for AB54 4EU

AB54 4EU in Keith has a Higher flood risk. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 5 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 4.1 μg/m³, within the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Glacial Till geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoSure).

How does AB54 4EU compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 95% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 95% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes

What is the flood risk in AB54 4EU?

Flood risk at AB54 4EU is rated Higher, based on SEPA flood mapping.

SEPA flood zone data places AB54 4EU in the higher flood risk band. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

How is the air quality in AB54 4EU?

Air quality at AB54 4EU is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at AB54 4EU?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at AB54 4EU as Glacial Till, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for AB54 4EU draws on four official UK open data sources: SEPA flood mapping, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Moray and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Moray area

Moray has a coastal and inland setting with fertile plains, river valleys and uplands to the south and experiences cool, wet winters and mild summers, shaped by North Sea influence and sheltered lowland areas.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for AB54 4AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/AB544AA, and you can compare AB54 4EU side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.