LOCATION

BN16 1AF - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Littlehampton (BN16)

Arun, Littlehampton (BN16)

Flood: MediumHeat: LowerAir quality: MediumGround: Medium

Climate risk summary for BN16 1AF

BN16 1AF in Littlehampton (BN16) has a Medium flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 11 properties in a flood risk zone. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 25 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 6.1 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with River Loam geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoSure).

How does BN16 1AF compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 68% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 54% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 87% of postcodes
  • Green space access: better green access than 88% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in BN16 1AF?

Flood risk at BN16 1AF is rated Medium, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places BN16 1AF in the medium flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 3 at medium risk, 8 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. Individual properties within BN16 1AF can differ - a formal flood risk search is recommended before any property transaction.

How is the air quality in BN16 1AF?

Air quality at BN16 1AF is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at BN16 1AF?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at BN16 1AF as River Loam, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for BN16 1AF draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Arun and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Arun area

Arun has a low-lying coastal setting and experiences cool, damp winters and warm summers, influenced by the English Channel and flat coastal plains. The district splits between a rural interior and an urban coastal strip taking in Littlehampton and Bognor Regis.

What should buyers and renters check in BN16 1AF?

Practical check: EA data flags 11 properties at flood risk here - check whether the property is among them by comparing its position to the flood zone boundary. With 25 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. With river loam geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for BN16 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/BN161AA, and you can compare BN16 1AF side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.