LOCATION

BT40 1AS - Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Ballymena

Mid and East Antrim, Ballymena

Flood: Very lowHeat: LowerAir quality: LowGround: Low

Climate risk summary for BT40 1AS

BT40 1AS in Ballymena has a Very low flood risk. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 3 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 4.4 μg/m³, within the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Eolian Sand geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoSure).

How does BT40 1AS compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 91% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 95% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes

What is the flood risk in BT40 1AS?

Postcode-level flood risk data for Northern Ireland (DfI Rivers) is not yet integrated into LocalRisk. To check the specific flood risk at BT40 1AS, use the NI Direct flood maps. Heat, air quality and subsidence figures for BT40 1AS on this page are based on official UK sources and are postcode-level.

How is the air quality in BT40 1AS?

Air quality at BT40 1AS is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at BT40 1AS?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at BT40 1AS as Eolian Sand, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for BT40 1AS draws on official UK open data sources: Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Postcode-level flood data for Northern Ireland (DfI Rivers) is not yet integrated. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Mid and East Antrim and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Mid and East Antrim area

Mid and East Antrim has a cool maritime climate with wet winters and mild summers, influenced by the Irish Sea coast and the Antrim plateau. Flood risk is most relevant in coastal towns like Larne and Carrickfergus and along river valleys such as the Braid and Main around Ballymena.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for BT40 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/BT401AA, and you can compare BT40 1AS side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.