LOCATION

BT64 1AF - Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Armagh

Armagh City, Banbridge and Craigavon, Armagh

Flood: Very lowHeat: LowerAir quality: LowGround: Low

Climate risk summary for BT64 1AF

BT64 1AF in Armagh has a Very low flood risk. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 6 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 4.6 μg/m³, within the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Glacial Till geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoSure).

How does BT64 1AF compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 92% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 92% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes

What is the flood risk in BT64 1AF?

Postcode-level flood risk data for Northern Ireland (DfI Rivers) is not yet integrated into LocalRisk. To check the specific flood risk at BT64 1AF, use the NI Direct flood maps. Heat, air quality and subsidence figures for BT64 1AF on this page are based on official UK sources and are postcode-level.

How is the air quality in BT64 1AF?

Air quality at BT64 1AF is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at BT64 1AF?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at BT64 1AF as Glacial Till, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for BT64 1AF draws on official UK open data sources: Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Postcode-level flood data for Northern Ireland (DfI Rivers) is not yet integrated. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Armagh City, Banbridge and Craigavon and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Armagh City, Banbridge and Craigavon area

Armagh City, Banbridge and Craigavon covers a largely inland area of rolling countryside and towns and includes much of the southern shore of Lough Neagh. It experiences cool, wet winters and mild summers, with conditions shaped by elevation and river catchments.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for BT64 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/BT641AA, and you can compare BT64 1AF side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.