CA11 0AJ - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Penrith (CA11)

Westmorland and Furness, Penrith (CA11)

Climate risk summary for CA11 0AJ

Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 7 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 4.7 μg/m³, within the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Glacial Till geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoClimate).

• Flood: No flood-risk band is published for this postcode in the current dataset releases - a data-coverage gap rather than a rating. The national agencies' address-level flood services cover every property.
• Heat: Projected 7 days above 25°C per year, 2021-2040 average (Met Office UKCP18, 50th percentile under RCP8.5, 12 km grid - postcodes within the same grid cell share this value).
• Air quality: PM2.5 4.7 µg/m³ - within the WHO annual guideline of 5 µg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR PCM model, council-level average - every postcode in this council shows this value).
• Ground: BGS data: Glacial Till geology. Shrink-swell risk classed as improbable (British Geological Survey).
• Green space: 54% of households here have accessible green space within a 15-minute walk (the government's Environmental Improvement Plan standard), and 4% have a park or green space within a 200m walk of their door - below the England median (Defra, 2025).

What is the flood risk in CA11 0AJ?

An official flood-risk band is not available for CA11 0AJ in the current dataset releases used by LocalRisk. This is a data-coverage gap rather than a low-risk rating. For a property-level reading, the Environment Agency's Check Your Long-Term Flood Risk service covers every address in England.

How is the air quality in CA11 0AJ?

Air quality at CA11 0AJ is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at CA11 0AJ?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at CA11 0AJ as Glacial Till, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for CA11 0AJ draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Westmorland and Furness and is updated as new official datasets are published.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for CA11 0AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/CA110AA, and you can compare CA11 0AJ side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.