LOCATION

CH5 1AJ - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Shotton

Flintshire, Shotton

Heat: LowerAir quality: LowGround: Low

Climate risk summary for CH5 1AJ

Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 13 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 5.5 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Glacial Till geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoSure).

How does CH5 1AJ compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 80% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 72% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes

How is the air quality in CH5 1AJ?

Air quality at CH5 1AJ is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at CH5 1AJ?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at CH5 1AJ as Glacial Till, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for CH5 1AJ draws on four official UK open data sources: Natural Resources Wales flood mapping, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Flintshire and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Flintshire area

Flintshire has a mixed coastal, industrial and rural setting along the Dee estuary and inland valleys and experiences cool, wet winters and mild summers, influenced by estuarine conditions and rising ground.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for CH5 1AB is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/CH51AB, and you can compare CH5 1AJ side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.