LOCATION

DN16 1BD - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Ashby (DN16)

North Lincolnshire, Ashby (DN16)

Flood: MediumHeat: LowerAir quality: MediumGround: Low

Climate risk summary for DN16 1BD

DN16 1BD in Ashby (DN16) has a Medium flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 3 properties in a flood risk zone. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 22 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 7.2 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Ferruginous Sandstone geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoSure).

How does DN16 1BD compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: more polluted than 60% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 53% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes
  • Green space access: better green access than 90% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in DN16 1BD?

Flood risk at DN16 1BD is rated Medium, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places DN16 1BD in the medium flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 1 at medium risk, 2 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. Individual properties within DN16 1BD can differ - a formal flood risk search is recommended before any property transaction.

How is the air quality in DN16 1BD?

Air quality at DN16 1BD is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at DN16 1BD?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at DN16 1BD as Ferruginous Sandstone, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for DN16 1BD draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers North Lincolnshire and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the North Lincolnshire area

North Lincolnshire has a low-lying inland setting with river valleys, flat agricultural land and industrial centres and experiences cool, wet winters and mild summers, shaped by flat terrain and estuarine influence.

What should buyers and renters check in DN16 1BD?

Practical check: EA data flags 3 properties at flood risk here - check whether the property is among them by comparing its position to the flood zone boundary. With 22 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. With PM2.5 above WHO guidelines here, check which bedrooms face busy roads and how fresh air is drawn into living spaces. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for DN16 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/DN161AA, and you can compare DN16 1BD side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.