FY4 2AY - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Little Eccleston (FY4)

Fylde, Little Eccleston (FY4)

Climate risk summary for FY4 2AY

FY4 2AY in Little Eccleston (FY4) has a Very low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records no properties in a flood risk zone in this postcode. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 13 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 5.3 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Eolian Sand geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoClimate).

• Flood: EA NaFRA2: no properties at flood risk in this postcode.
• Heat: Projected 13 days above 25°C per year, 2021-2040 average (Met Office UKCP18, 50th percentile under RCP8.5, 12 km grid - postcodes within the same grid cell share this value).
• Air quality: PM2.5 5.3 µg/m³ - above the WHO annual guideline of 5 µg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR PCM model, council-level average - every postcode in this council shows this value).
• Ground: BGS data: Eolian Sand geology. Shrink-swell risk classed as improbable (British Geological Survey).
• Green space: 83% of households here have accessible green space within a 15-minute walk (the government's Environmental Improvement Plan standard), and 13% have a park or green space within a 200m walk of their door - near the England median (Defra, 2025).

What is the flood risk in FY4 2AY?

Flood risk at FY4 2AY is rated Very Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows very low flood risk for FY4 2AY in Little Eccleston (FY4). EA NaFRA2 data shows no properties at flood risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

How is the air quality in FY4 2AY?

Air quality at FY4 2AY is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at FY4 2AY?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at FY4 2AY as Eolian Sand, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for FY4 2AY draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Fylde and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Fylde area

Fylde has a low-lying coastal and agricultural setting with flat terrain and seaside towns and experiences cool, wet winters and mild summers, influenced by Irish Sea conditions and extensive drainage networks.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for FY4 1AB is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/FY41AB, and you can compare FY4 2AY side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.