IV31 6AP - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Lossiemouth

Moray, Lossiemouth

Climate risk summary for IV31 6AP

IV31 6AP in Lossiemouth has a Medium flood risk. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 5 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 4.1 μg/m³, within the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Quaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoClimate).

• Flood: Flooding is possible during severe weather. Routine checks help.
• Heat: Projected 5 days above 25°C per year, 2021-2040 average (Met Office UKCP18, 50th percentile under RCP8.5, 12 km grid - postcodes within the same grid cell share this value).
• Air quality: PM2.5 4.1 µg/m³ - within the WHO annual guideline of 5 µg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR PCM model, council-level average - every postcode in this council shows this value).
• Ground: BGS data: Quaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand geology. Shrink-swell risk classed as improbable (British Geological Survey).

What is the flood risk in IV31 6AP?

Flood risk at IV31 6AP is rated Medium, based on SEPA flood mapping.

SEPA flood zone data places IV31 6AP in the medium flood risk band. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. Individual properties within IV31 6AP can differ - a formal flood risk search is recommended before any property transaction.

How is the air quality in IV31 6AP?

Air quality at IV31 6AP is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at IV31 6AP?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at IV31 6AP as Quaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for IV31 6AP draws on four official UK open data sources: SEPA flood mapping, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Moray and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Moray area

Moray has a coastal and inland setting with fertile plains, river valleys and uplands to the south and experiences cool, wet winters and mild summers, shaped by North Sea influence and sheltered lowland areas.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for IV31 6AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/IV316AA, and you can compare IV31 6AP side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.