LOCATION

PO32 6AE - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - East Cowes

Isle of Wight, East Cowes

Flood: HighHeat: LowerAir quality: LowGround: Low

PO32 6AE in East Cowes has a High flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 4 properties at high flood risk. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 17 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 5.6 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoSure).

National comparison

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 74% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 65% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes
  • Green space access: better green access than 57% of English postcodes

Flood risk at PO32 6AE is rated High, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Air quality at PO32 6AE is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at PO32 6AE as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

The nearest projected coastal erosion zone to PO32 6AE is 71 m away (Erosion projected by 2055 (no climate change uplift) - SMP policy: No Active Intervention mapping) and the postcode is in the very high coastal erosion risk band. Coastal erosion risk varies along the shoreline depending on local geology, sea defences and Shoreline Management Plan policy. For properties near the coast, a specialist coastal erosion risk assessment is recommended.

This LocalRisk report for PO32 6AE draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Isle of Wight and is updated as new official datasets are published.

The Isle of Wight has a varied coastal and rural setting with river valleys, cliffs and low-lying plains and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by English Channel conditions and varied topography.

Environment Agency flood zone data places PO32 6AE in the high flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 4 at high risk, 1 at medium risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

Practical check: EA flags 5 properties at flood risk here, near the coast - compare the floor level to the highest recorded tide line and check for flood resilience measures. The nearest projected erosion zone is 71m away - check the Shoreline Management Plan policy for this stretch and whether the property is within 100 years of the erosion line. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.