ST4 6DA - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Town

Newcastle-under-Lyme, Town

Climate risk summary for ST4 6DA

ST4 6DA in Newcastle-under-Lyme has a High flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 2 properties at high flood risk. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 17 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 6.7 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Glacial Till geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoClimate).

• Flood: EA NaFRA2: 2 high, 1 medium flood risk properties in this postcode.
• Heat: Projected 17 days above 25°C per year, 2021-2040 average (Met Office UKCP18, 50th percentile under RCP8.5, 12 km grid - postcodes within the same grid cell share this value).
• Air quality: PM2.5 6.7 µg/m³ - above the WHO annual guideline of 5 µg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR PCM model, council-level average - every postcode in this council shows this value).
• Ground: BGS data: Glacial Till geology. Shrink-swell risk classed as improbable (British Geological Survey).
• Green space: 92% of households here have accessible green space within a 15-minute walk (the government's Environmental Improvement Plan standard), and 21% have a park or green space within a 200m walk of their door - above the England median (Defra, 2025).

What is the flood risk in ST4 6DA?

Flood risk at ST4 6DA is rated High, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places ST4 6DA in the high flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 2 at high risk, 1 at medium risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

How is the air quality in ST4 6DA?

Air quality at ST4 6DA is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at ST4 6DA?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at ST4 6DA as Glacial Till, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for ST4 6DA draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Newcastle-under-Lyme and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Newcastle-under-Lyme area

Newcastle-under-Lyme has an inland town setting with rolling terrain, river valleys and former industrial land and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by lowland geography and development patterns.

What should buyers and renters check in ST4 6DA?

Practical check: With 2 properties at high flood risk here, ask about past flooding events, check the entrance threshold height relative to road level, and review buildings insurance terms. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.