LOCATION

YO31 0AF - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Heworth (YO31)

York, Heworth (YO31)

Flood: Very lowHeat: LowerAir quality: LowGround: Low

Climate risk summary for YO31 0AF

YO31 0AF in Heworth (YO31) has a Very low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records no properties in a flood risk zone in this postcode. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 21 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 6.0 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Glaciolacustrine geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoSure).

How does YO31 0AF compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 69% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 57% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 95% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in YO31 0AF?

Flood risk at YO31 0AF is rated Very Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows very low flood risk for YO31 0AF in Heworth (YO31). EA NaFRA2 data shows no properties at flood risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

How is the air quality in YO31 0AF?

Air quality at YO31 0AF is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at YO31 0AF?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at YO31 0AF as Glaciolacustrine, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for YO31 0AF draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers York and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the York area

York has a historic city setting on a flat low-lying floodplain with surrounding agricultural land and experiences cool, wet winters and mild summers, shaped by its position at the confluence of major rivers.

What should buyers and renters check in YO31 0AF?

Practical check: With 21 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for YO31 0AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/YO310AA, and you can compare YO31 0AF side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.