LOCATION

CM9 6YY - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Southminster (CM9)

Maldon, Southminster (CM9)

Flood: HighHeat: MediumAir quality: MediumGround: High

Climate risk summary for CM9 6YY

CM9 6YY in Southminster (CM9) has a High flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 28 properties at high flood risk. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 30 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 6.9 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are High risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as probable (BGS GeoClimate).

How does CM9 6YY compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: more polluted than 50% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 74% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 95% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 95% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in CM9 6YY?

Flood risk at CM9 6YY is rated High, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places CM9 6YY in the high flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 28 at high risk, 3 at medium risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

What is the heat risk in CM9 6YY?

Heat risk at CM9 6YY is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in CM9 6YY?

Air quality at CM9 6YY is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at CM9 6YY?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at CM9 6YY as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated probable (subsidence risk band: High). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for CM9 6YY draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Maldon and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Maldon area

Maldon has a coastal and estuarine setting with low-lying land, tidal creeks and surrounding countryside and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, shaped by North Sea influence and flat terrain.

What should buyers and renters check in CM9 6YY?

Practical check: With 28 properties at high flood risk here, ask about past flooding events, check the entrance threshold height relative to road level, and review buildings insurance terms. 30 hot days are projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5) - check which rooms face south or west and whether the property has cross-ventilation or external shading. With prequaternary marine/estuarine sand and silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for CM9 4AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/CM94AA, and you can compare CM9 6YY side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.