LOCATION

CO11 1AR - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Brightlingsea (CO11)

Tendring, Brightlingsea (CO11)

Flood: Very lowHeat: MediumAir quality: MediumGround: Medium

Climate risk summary for CO11 1AR

CO11 1AR in Brightlingsea (CO11) has a Very low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records no properties in a flood risk zone in this postcode. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 26 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 6.8 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoSure).

How does CO11 1AR compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 53% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 58% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 87% of postcodes
  • Green space access: better green access than 80% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in CO11 1AR?

Flood risk at CO11 1AR is rated Very Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows very low flood risk for CO11 1AR in Brightlingsea (CO11). EA NaFRA2 data shows no properties at flood risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

What is the heat risk in CO11 1AR?

Heat risk at CO11 1AR is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in CO11 1AR?

Air quality at CO11 1AR is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at CO11 1AR?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at CO11 1AR as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Is CO11 1AR at risk of coastal erosion?

The nearest projected coastal erosion zone to CO11 1AR is 37 m away (Erosion projected by 2055 (no climate change uplift) - SMP policy: No Active Intervention mapping) and the postcode is in the very high coastal erosion risk band. Coastal erosion risk varies along the shoreline depending on local geology, sea defences and Shoreline Management Plan policy. Check the Shoreline Management Plan for this stretch for the projections that apply to a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for CO11 1AR draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Tendring and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Tendring area

Tendring has a low-lying coastal and rural setting with estuaries, flat farmland and seaside towns such as Clacton, Frinton and Walton-on-the-Naze, and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by North Sea exposure and limited elevation.

What should buyers and renters check in CO11 1AR?

Practical check: With 26 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. With prequaternary marine/estuarine sand and silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. The nearest projected erosion zone is 37m away - check the Shoreline Management Plan policy for this stretch and whether the property is within 100 years of the erosion line. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for CO11 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/CO111AA, and you can compare CO11 1AR side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.