LOCATION

CO4 9AH - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Brightlingsea

Tendring, Brightlingsea

Flood: Very lowHeat: MediumAir quality: MediumGround: Medium

CO4 9AH in Brightlingsea has a Very low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records no properties in a flood risk zone in this postcode. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 26 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 6.8 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with Glaciolacustrine geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoSure).

National comparison

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 53% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 58% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 87% of postcodes
  • Green space access: better green access than 77% of English postcodes

Flood risk at CO4 9AH is rated Very Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Heat risk at CO4 9AH is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

Air quality at CO4 9AH is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at CO4 9AH as Glaciolacustrine, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

This LocalRisk report for CO4 9AH draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Tendring and is updated as new official datasets are published.

Tendring has a low-lying coastal and rural setting with estuaries, flat farmland and seaside towns and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by North Sea exposure and limited elevation.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows very low flood risk for CO4 9AH in Brightlingsea. EA NaFRA2 data shows no properties at flood risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

Practical check: With 26 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. With glaciolacustrine geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.