LOCATION

CR4 4AR - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Beddington Corner (CR4)

Sutton, Beddington Corner (CR4)

Flood: HighHeat: MediumAir quality: HighGround: Medium

Climate risk summary for CR4 4AR

CR4 4AR in Beddington Corner (CR4) has a High flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 4 properties at high flood risk. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 34 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is High at PM2.5 8.2 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Clay/Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoSure).

How does CR4 4AR compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: more polluted than 85% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 84% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 87% of postcodes
  • Green space access: better green access than 95% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in CR4 4AR?

Flood risk at CR4 4AR is rated High, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places CR4 4AR in the high flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 4 at high risk, 11 at medium risk, 4 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

What is the heat risk in CR4 4AR?

Heat risk at CR4 4AR is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in CR4 4AR?

Air quality at CR4 4AR is rated High, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at CR4 4AR?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at CR4 4AR as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Clay/Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for CR4 4AR draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Sutton and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Sutton area

Sutton has a suburban south London setting with chalk downland, residential neighbourhoods and transport corridors and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by elevation and Greater London’s urban climate.

What should buyers and renters check in CR4 4AR?

Practical check: With 4 properties at high flood risk here, ask about past flooding events, check the entrance threshold height relative to road level, and review buildings insurance terms. 34 hot days are projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5) - check which rooms face south or west and whether the property has cross-ventilation or external shading. With PM2.5 above WHO guidelines here, check which bedrooms face busy roads and how fresh air is drawn into living spaces. With prequaternary marine/estuarine clay/silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for CR4 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/CR41AA, and you can compare CR4 4AR side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.