LOCATION

HA5 4HR - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Pinner (HA5)

Harrow, Pinner (HA5)

Flood: HighHeat: HigherAir quality: HighGround: Medium

Climate risk summary for HA5 4HR

HA5 4HR in Pinner (HA5) has a High flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 22 properties at high flood risk. Heat risk is Higher, with a median (50th percentile) of 38 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is High at PM2.5 8.3 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoClimate).

How does HA5 4HR compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: more polluted than 88% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 91% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 87% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 95% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in HA5 4HR?

Flood risk at HA5 4HR is rated High, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places HA5 4HR in the high flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 22 at high risk, 3 at medium risk, 3 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

What is the heat risk in HA5 4HR?

Heat risk at HA5 4HR is rated Higher, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in HA5 4HR?

Air quality at HA5 4HR is rated High, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at HA5 4HR?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at HA5 4HR as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for HA5 4HR draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Harrow and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Harrow area

Harrow has a suburban north-west London setting that rises to the wooded high ground of Harrow on the Hill and Harrow Weald, and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by elevation and dense development.

What should buyers and renters check in HA5 4HR?

Practical check: With 22 properties at high flood risk here, ask about past flooding events, check the entrance threshold height relative to road level, and review buildings insurance terms. 38 hot days are projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5) - check which rooms face south or west and whether the property has cross-ventilation or external shading. With PM2.5 above WHO guidelines here, check which bedrooms face busy roads and how fresh air is drawn into living spaces. With prequaternary marine/estuarine sand and silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for HA5 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/HA51AA, and you can compare HA5 4HR side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.