LOCATION

NG4 1RW - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Carlton (NG4)

Gedling, Carlton (NG4)

Flood: HighHeat: MediumAir quality: MediumGround: Low

Climate risk summary for NG4 1RW

NG4 1RW in Carlton (NG4) has a High flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 24 properties at high flood risk. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 26 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 7.4 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Mudstone And Sandstone geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoClimate).

How does NG4 1RW compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: more polluted than 88% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 54% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 95% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in NG4 1RW?

Flood risk at NG4 1RW is rated High, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places NG4 1RW in the high flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 24 at high risk, 42 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

What is the heat risk in NG4 1RW?

Heat risk at NG4 1RW is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in NG4 1RW?

Air quality at NG4 1RW is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at NG4 1RW?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at NG4 1RW as Mudstone And Sandstone, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for NG4 1RW draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Gedling and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Gedling area

Gedling has an inland suburban setting with river valleys and former industrial land and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by lowland terrain and development patterns.

What should buyers and renters check in NG4 1RW?

Practical check: With 24 properties at high flood risk here, ask about past flooding events, check the entrance threshold height relative to road level, and review buildings insurance terms. With 26 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. With PM2.5 above WHO guidelines here, check which bedrooms face busy roads and how fresh air is drawn into living spaces. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for NG4 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/NG41AA, and you can compare NG4 1RW side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.