LOCATION

PO11 0AQ - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Gable Head (PO11)

Havant, Gable Head (PO11)

Flood: LowHeat: MediumAir quality: MediumGround: Low

Climate risk summary for PO11 0AQ

PO11 0AQ in Gable Head (PO11) has a Low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 7 properties in a flood risk zone. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 29 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 6.3 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with Quaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoClimate).

How does PO11 0AQ compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 56% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 67% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 73% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in PO11 0AQ?

Flood risk at PO11 0AQ is rated Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows low flood risk for PO11 0AQ in Gable Head (PO11). EA NaFRA2 data shows 7 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

What is the heat risk in PO11 0AQ?

Heat risk at PO11 0AQ is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in PO11 0AQ?

Air quality at PO11 0AQ is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at PO11 0AQ?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at PO11 0AQ as Quaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Is PO11 0AQ at risk of coastal erosion?

The nearest projected coastal erosion zone to PO11 0AQ is 185 m away (Erosion projected by 2055 (no climate change uplift) - SMP policy: Hold The Line mapping) and the postcode is in the very high coastal erosion risk band. Coastal erosion risk varies along the shoreline depending on local geology, sea defences and Shoreline Management Plan policy. Check the Shoreline Management Plan for this stretch for the projections that apply to a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for PO11 0AQ draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Havant and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Havant area

Havant has a low-lying coastal and suburban setting between Langstone and Chichester Harbours, taking in the mainland towns and the northern part of Hayling Island, and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by maritime conditions and flat terrain.

What should buyers and renters check in PO11 0AQ?

Practical check: EA flags 7 properties at flood risk here, near the coast - compare the floor level to the highest recorded tide line and check for flood resilience measures. With 29 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. The nearest projected erosion zone is 185m away - check the Shoreline Management Plan policy for this stretch and whether the property is within 100 years of the erosion line. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for PO11 0AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/PO110AA, and you can compare PO11 0AQ side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.