Isle of Wight, Carisbrooke (PO30)
PO30 1AJ in Carisbrooke (PO30) has a Medium flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 4 properties in a flood risk zone. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 17 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 5.6 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoClimate).
Flood risk at PO30 1AJ is rated Medium, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.
Environment Agency flood zone data places PO30 1AJ in the medium flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 1 at medium risk, 3 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. Individual properties within PO30 1AJ can differ - a formal flood risk search is recommended before any property transaction.
Air quality at PO30 1AJ is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.
British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at PO30 1AJ as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.
This LocalRisk report for PO30 1AJ draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Isle of Wight and is updated as new official datasets are published.
The Isle of Wight has a varied coastal and rural setting with river valleys, cliffs and low-lying plains and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by English Channel conditions and varied topography.
Practical check: EA data flags 4 properties at flood risk here - check whether the property is among them by comparing its position to the flood zone boundary. With prequaternary marine/estuarine sand and silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.
Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for PO30 1AE is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/PO301AE, and you can compare PO30 1AJ side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.