LOCATION

PO30 5EZ - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Carisbrooke (PO30)

Isle of Wight, Carisbrooke (PO30)

Flood: HighHeat: LowerAir quality: LowGround: Medium

Climate risk summary for PO30 5EZ

PO30 5EZ in Carisbrooke (PO30) has a High flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 14 properties at high flood risk. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 17 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 5.6 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoClimate).

How does PO30 5EZ compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 74% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 65% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 87% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 50% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in PO30 5EZ?

Flood risk at PO30 5EZ is rated High, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places PO30 5EZ in the high flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 14 at high risk, 12 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

How is the air quality in PO30 5EZ?

Air quality at PO30 5EZ is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at PO30 5EZ?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at PO30 5EZ as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand And Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for PO30 5EZ draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Isle of Wight and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Isle of Wight area

The Isle of Wight has a varied coastal and rural setting with river valleys, cliffs and low-lying plains and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by English Channel conditions and varied topography.

What should buyers and renters check in PO30 5EZ?

Practical check: With 14 properties at high flood risk here, ask about past flooding events, check the entrance threshold height relative to road level, and review buildings insurance terms. With prequaternary marine/estuarine sand and silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for PO30 1AE is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/PO301AE, and you can compare PO30 5EZ side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.