LOCATION

PO31 7AG - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Cowes (PO31)

Isle of Wight, Cowes (PO31)

Flood: Very lowHeat: LowerAir quality: LowGround: Medium

Climate risk summary for PO31 7AG

PO31 7AG in Cowes (PO31) has a Very low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records no properties in a flood risk zone in this postcode. Heat risk is Lower, with a median (50th percentile) of 17 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 5.6 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Clay/Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoClimate).

How does PO31 7AG compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 74% of councils
  • Heat risk: cooler than 65% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 87% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 95% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in PO31 7AG?

Flood risk at PO31 7AG is rated Very Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows very low flood risk for PO31 7AG in Cowes (PO31). EA NaFRA2 data shows no properties at flood risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

How is the air quality in PO31 7AG?

Air quality at PO31 7AG is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at PO31 7AG?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at PO31 7AG as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Clay/Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Is PO31 7AG at risk of coastal erosion?

The nearest projected coastal erosion zone to PO31 7AG is 60 m away (Erosion projected by 2055 (no climate change uplift) - SMP policy: Hold The Line mapping) and the postcode is in the very high coastal erosion risk band. Coastal erosion risk varies along the shoreline depending on local geology, sea defences and Shoreline Management Plan policy. Check the Shoreline Management Plan for this stretch for the projections that apply to a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for PO31 7AG draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Isle of Wight and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Isle of Wight area

The Isle of Wight has a varied coastal and rural setting with river valleys, cliffs and low-lying plains and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by English Channel conditions and varied topography.

What should buyers and renters check in PO31 7AG?

Practical check: With prequaternary marine/estuarine clay/silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. The nearest projected erosion zone is 60m away - check the Shoreline Management Plan policy for this stretch and whether the property is within 100 years of the erosion line. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for PO31 7AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/PO317AA, and you can compare PO31 7AG side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.