LOCATION

PO7 5AP - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Waterlooville (PO7)

Havant, Waterlooville (PO7)

Flood: Very lowHeat: MediumAir quality: MediumGround: Medium

Climate risk summary for PO7 5AP

PO7 5AP in Waterlooville (PO7) has a Very low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records no properties in a flood risk zone in this postcode. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 29 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 6.3 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Medium risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as possible (BGS GeoClimate).

How does PO7 5AP compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 56% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 67% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 87% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 83% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in PO7 5AP?

Flood risk at PO7 5AP is rated Very Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows very low flood risk for PO7 5AP in Waterlooville (PO7). EA NaFRA2 data shows no properties at flood risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

What is the heat risk in PO7 5AP?

Heat risk at PO7 5AP is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in PO7 5AP?

Air quality at PO7 5AP is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at PO7 5AP?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at PO7 5AP as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Sand, with shrink-swell hazard rated possible (subsidence risk band: Medium). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for PO7 5AP draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Havant and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Havant area

Havant has a low-lying coastal and suburban setting between Langstone and Chichester Harbours, taking in the mainland towns and the northern part of Hayling Island, and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by maritime conditions and flat terrain.

What should buyers and renters check in PO7 5AP?

Practical check: With 29 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. With prequaternary marine/estuarine sand geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.