LOCATION

SE19 1HA - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Dulwich (SE19)

Southwark, Dulwich (SE19)

Flood: MediumHeat: HigherAir quality: HighGround: High

Climate risk summary for SE19 1HA

SE19 1HA in Dulwich (SE19) has a Medium flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 18 properties in a flood risk zone. Heat risk is Higher, with a median (50th percentile) of 40 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is High at PM2.5 9.5 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are High risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Clay/Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as probable (BGS GeoSure).

How does SE19 1HA compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: more polluted than 95% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 94% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 95% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 75% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in SE19 1HA?

Flood risk at SE19 1HA is rated Medium, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places SE19 1HA in the medium flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 9 at medium risk, 9 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. Individual properties within SE19 1HA can differ - a formal flood risk search is recommended before any property transaction.

What is the heat risk in SE19 1HA?

Heat risk at SE19 1HA is rated Higher, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in SE19 1HA?

Air quality at SE19 1HA is rated High, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at SE19 1HA?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at SE19 1HA as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Clay/Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated probable (subsidence risk band: High). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for SE19 1HA draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Southwark and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Southwark area

Southwark has a dense inner-London setting along the River Thames with extensive redevelopment and limited green space and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, shaped by urban density and Thames Valley conditions.

What should buyers and renters check in SE19 1HA?

Practical check: EA data flags 18 properties at flood risk here - check whether the property is among them by comparing its position to the flood zone boundary. With 40 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), overheating is a real concern - check which rooms face south or west, whether windows allow cross-ventilation, and if there is any external shading. With PM2.5 above WHO guidelines here, check which bedrooms face busy roads and how fresh air is drawn into living spaces. With prequaternary marine/estuarine clay/silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for SE19 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/SE191AA, and you can compare SE19 1HA side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.