LOCATION

SM5 1AL - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - The Wrythe (SM5)

Sutton, The Wrythe (SM5)

Flood: LowHeat: MediumAir quality: HighGround: High

Climate risk summary for SM5 1AL

SM5 1AL in The Wrythe (SM5) has a Low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 2 properties in a flood risk zone. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 34 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is High at PM2.5 8.2 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are High risk, with Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Clay/Silt geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as probable (BGS GeoSure).

How does SM5 1AL compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: more polluted than 85% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 84% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: higher risk than 95% of postcodes
  • Green space access: better green access than 56% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in SM5 1AL?

Flood risk at SM5 1AL is rated Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows low flood risk for SM5 1AL in The Wrythe (SM5). EA NaFRA2 data shows 2 at low risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

What is the heat risk in SM5 1AL?

Heat risk at SM5 1AL is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in SM5 1AL?

Air quality at SM5 1AL is rated High, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at SM5 1AL?

BGS GeoSure data classes the underlying soil at SM5 1AL as Prequaternary Marine/Estuarine Clay/Silt, with shrink-swell hazard rated probable (subsidence risk band: High). Soil type and shrink-swell behaviour drive subsidence claims following dry summers; recent ABI data shows insurer payouts rose sharply after the 2022 and 2025 hot summers. A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground risk for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for SM5 1AL draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoSure subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Sutton and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Sutton area

Sutton has a suburban south London setting with chalk downland, residential neighbourhoods and transport corridors and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, influenced by elevation and Greater London’s urban climate.

What should buyers and renters check in SM5 1AL?

Practical check: EA flags just 2 properties at flood risk here - check whether this one is among them via a formal flood search. 34 hot days are projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5) - check which rooms face south or west and whether the property has cross-ventilation or external shading. With PM2.5 above WHO guidelines here, check which bedrooms face busy roads and how fresh air is drawn into living spaces. With prequaternary marine/estuarine clay/silt geology here, look for signs of ground movement - diagonal cracks above windows, sticking doors, and gaps between walls and extensions. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for SM5 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/SM51AA, and you can compare SM5 1AL side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.