LOCATION

SO18 1AQ - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Midanbury (SO18)

Southampton, Midanbury (SO18)

Flood: Very lowHeat: MediumAir quality: MediumGround: Low

Climate risk summary for SO18 1AQ

SO18 1AQ in Midanbury (SO18) has a Very low flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records no properties in a flood risk zone in this postcode. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 34 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Medium at PM2.5 6.5 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with River Terrace Sand/Gravel geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoClimate).

How does SO18 1AQ compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: more polluted than 50% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 86% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes
  • Green space access: better green access than 84% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in SO18 1AQ?

Flood risk at SO18 1AQ is rated Very Low, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data shows very low flood risk for SO18 1AQ in Midanbury (SO18). EA NaFRA2 data shows no properties at flood risk in this postcode. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. For a specific property, a conveyancing search will confirm the exact flood zone position.

What is the heat risk in SO18 1AQ?

Heat risk at SO18 1AQ is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in SO18 1AQ?

Air quality at SO18 1AQ is rated Medium, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at SO18 1AQ?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at SO18 1AQ as River Terrace Sand/Gravel, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Is SO18 1AQ at risk of coastal erosion?

The nearest projected coastal erosion zone to SO18 1AQ is 157 m away (Erosion projected by 2055 (no climate change uplift) - SMP policy: Hold The Line mapping) and the postcode is in the very high coastal erosion risk band. Coastal erosion risk varies along the shoreline depending on local geology, sea defences and Shoreline Management Plan policy. Check the Shoreline Management Plan for this stretch for the projections that apply to a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for SO18 1AQ draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers Southampton and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the Southampton area

Southampton has a coastal city setting on Southampton Water, where the Rivers Itchen and Test meet a major port, with estuaries and dense development, and experiences cool, wet winters and mild summers, influenced by English Channel conditions and extensive hard surfacing.

What should buyers and renters check in SO18 1AQ?

Practical check: 34 hot days are projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5) - check which rooms face south or west and whether the property has cross-ventilation or external shading. The nearest projected erosion zone is 157m away - check the Shoreline Management Plan policy for this stretch and whether the property is within 100 years of the erosion line. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for SO18 1AB is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/SO181AB, and you can compare SO18 1AQ side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.