LOCATION

SP6 1AH - Flood, Heat, Air & Subsidence Risk - Tinkers Cross (SP6)

New Forest, Tinkers Cross (SP6)

Flood: HighHeat: MediumAir quality: LowGround: Low

Climate risk summary for SP6 1AH

SP6 1AH in Tinkers Cross (SP6) has a High flood risk - EA NaFRA2 data records 6 properties at high flood risk. Heat risk is Medium, with a median (50th percentile) of 29 days above 25°C per year, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario (Met Office UKCP18). Air quality is Low at PM2.5 5.7 μg/m³, above the WHO annual guideline of 5 μg/m³ (Defra UK-AIR). Ground conditions are Low risk, with River Terrace Sand/Gravel geology; shrink-swell risk is classed as improbable (BGS GeoClimate).

How does SP6 1AH compare with the rest of the UK?

  • Air pollution: cleaner than 70% of councils
  • Heat risk: hotter than 67% of councils
  • Subsidence risk: lower risk than 58% of postcodes
  • Green space access: less green access than 77% of English postcodes

What is the flood risk in SP6 1AH?

Flood risk at SP6 1AH is rated High, based on Environment Agency NaFRA2 modelling.

Environment Agency flood zone data places SP6 1AH in the high flood risk band. EA NaFRA2 data shows 6 at high risk, 15 at medium risk, 18 at low risk in this postcode. Groundwater flood risk is classed as possible. The band reflects the highest flood risk within the postcode; some properties within this postcode may face little or no direct flood risk. A formal flood risk search and review of buildings insurance availability is recommended before any property transaction in this area.

What is the heat risk in SP6 1AH?

Heat risk at SP6 1AH is rated Medium, reflecting Met Office UKCP18 climate projections (50th percentile) for this area, averaged over the 2021-2040 period under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. These are probabilistic projections - the 50th percentile is the central estimate within RCP8.5; the full range of modelled outcomes is wide and lower emissions scenarios would produce lower figures. Higher summer temperatures increase cooling energy costs, affect comfort in poorly insulated or south-facing properties, and can accelerate shrinkage in clay soils beneath foundations. Properties built before 1980 without cavity wall insulation are typically most affected.

How is the air quality in SP6 1AH?

Air quality at SP6 1AH is rated Low, based on Defra UK-AIR annual mean PM2.5 data. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) comes primarily from road traffic, industry, and domestic burning. Long-term exposure above the WHO guideline of 5 µg/m³ is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular health risks. Buyers and renters in higher air quality risk areas may wish to consider whether the property is near busy roads or industrial sources.

Is subsidence a risk at SP6 1AH?

British Geological Survey data classes the underlying soil at SP6 1AH as River Terrace Sand/Gravel, with shrink-swell hazard rated improbable (subsidence risk band: Low). A structural survey is the reliable way to assess ground conditions for a specific property.

Where does this data come from?

This LocalRisk report for SP6 1AH draws on four official UK open data sources: Environment Agency NaFRA2 flood modelling, Met Office UKCP18 climate projections, Defra UK-AIR PM2.5 monitoring, and British Geological Survey GeoClimate subsidence mapping. Risk ratings are a screening tool, complementing - not replacing - the searches and surveys ordered as part of a property transaction. Data covers New Forest and is updated as new official datasets are published.

About the New Forest area

New Forest has a low-lying rural and coastal setting with heathland, woodland and river valleys and experiences cool, wet winters and warm summers, shaped by free-draining soils and coastal influence.

What should buyers and renters check in SP6 1AH?

Practical check: With 6 properties at high flood risk here, ask about past flooding events, check the entrance threshold height relative to road level, and review buildings insurance terms. With 29 hot days projected (UKCP18 50th percentile, 2021-2040 average under RCP8.5), note which bedrooms face west (hottest in evening) and whether windows allow through-ventilation. These are postcode-level indicators - conditions vary between individual properties.

Climate risk can change street by street, so it is worth checking neighbouring postcodes too. The full risk report for SP6 1AA is at localrisk.co.uk/postcode/SP61AA, and you can compare SP6 1AH side by side with any UK postcode at localrisk.co.uk/compare.